South Africa Telecommunications Report

South Africa Telecommunications Report

Published OnMay, 2016
Pages78
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FormatPDF
Cement: 2014 Market Review and Forecast
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BMI View: This quarter sees some slight revisions to our forecasts for South Africa's mobile and broadband subscriber markets. The mobile market outperformed our expectations in 2015, adding over 8mn subscribers in the 12 months to December. 3G and 4G services continue to experience strong uptake and are having a positive impact on non-voice service revenues. In January 2016, all three carriers showcased their LTE-Advanced technology and we believe that they will roll-out LTE-Advanced services commercially over the course of 2016. Further market consolidation is expected, despite the collapse of mobile market leader Vodacom's attempt to acquire fixed-line network operator Neotel, and the decision by market incumbent, Telekom South Africa, to call off its attempt to acquire the country's third largest operator, Cell C. However, with downwards pressure on traditional voice ARPUs and with a renewed focus on data, Telekom will continue to look for a way of strengthening its position in the mobile market. Meanwhile, Vodacom remains committed to strengthen its position in the wireline market and Tata Communications, the parent company of Neotel, is reportedly already looking for a new buyer for its South African subsidiary.
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
■ The South African mobile market grew higher than forecast in 2015 as the market added an impressive 8.14mn subscribers. Our revised forecast now envisages a market

BMI Industry View ... 7
Latest Updates & Industry Developments .. 7
SWOT ...... 9
Telecoms .. 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Latest Updates  11
Structural Trends ..... 11
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (South Africa 2013-2020) . . 15
Industry Risk Reward Index ... 16
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index .... 16
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index, Q3 2016 . . . . 19
South Africa Risk/Reward Index ..... 21
Market Overview ... 22
Market Drivers & Trends .... 22
Mobile . 22
Wireline Voice & Broadband ........ 32
Table: Telkom Fixed Telephony Access Lines ('000) . . . 33
Table: Telkom Internet Subscriptions . 34
Table: Recent Fibre Developments . . . 35
Regulatory Development ........ 36
South Africa - Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities .. 36
Table: Competition Commission (CompCom) . . . . 36
Table: Department of Communications (DoC) . . . 36
Table: Independent Communications Authority of South Africa (ICASA) 37
Latest Developments . 39
Table: National Broadband Policy Access Targets . . . . 41
Competitive Landscape . 42
Table: Key Players . . 42
Source: Operator data ....... 42
Table: Market Overview 2014-2015 . . 42
Table: Vodacom . . . . . 43
Table: MTN . . . 45
Table: Cell C . . 47
Table: 8ta - Telkom South Africa . . . . . 47
Table: Virgin Mobile 48
Company Profile .... 49
Cell C .... 49
MTN ..... 53
Telkom .. 58
Vodacom  63
Demographic Forecast .. 67
Demographic Outlook  67
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) . 68
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . 68
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 69
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) . 69
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . 70
Glossary ........ 72
Table: Glossary Of Terms 72
Methodology . 74
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 74
Sources  76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 76
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 78
Adcock Ingram Ltd in Consumer Health (South Africa)
Allergy Care, Herbal/Traditional Products, OTC, Paediatric Consumer Health, Sports Nutrition, Vitamins and Dietary Supplements, Weight Management. Data coverage:
Chilled Processed Food in South Africa
Chilled Fish/Seafood, Chilled Lunch Kits, Chilled Noodles, Chilled Pizza, Chilled Processed Meat, Chilled Ready Meals, Chilled Soup, Chilled/Fresh Pasta, Fresh Cut Fruits, Prepared Salads.Data coverage:
Clover SA (Pty) Ltd in Packaged Food (South Africa)
Baby Food, Bakery, Canned/Preserved Food, Chilled Processed Food, Confectionery, Dairy, Dried Processed Food, Frozen Processed Food, Ice Cream, Impulse and Indulgence Products, Meal Replacement, Meal Solutions, Noodles, Nutrition/Staples, Oils and Fats, Pasta, Ready Meals, Sauces, Dressings and Condiments, Snack Bars, Soup, Spreads, Sweet and Savou
Canned/Preserved Food in South Africa
Canned/Preserved Beans, Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood, Canned/Preserved Fruit, Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products, Canned/Preserved Pasta, Canned/Preserved Ready Meals, Canned/Preserved Soup, Canned/Preserved Tomatoes, Canned/Preserved Vegetables, Other Canned/Preserved Food. Data coverage:

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