South Africa Shipping Report

South Africa Shipping Report

Published OnJul, 2014
Cement: 2014 Market Review and Forecast
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Growth at South African ports is threatened by the global headwinds that are posing challenges for the country as a whole, namely the China slowdown and the drying up of foreign inflows due to the raised possibility that the extraordinarily loose monetary policy that has been the norm in the US is tapered off

However, with continued investment in facilities, growth in private final consumption, and ever-expanding coal exports, we forecast growth in both total tonnage and container volumes at South African ports in 2014

Headline Industry Data Richards Bay Port tonnage throughput in 2014 is forecast to increase by 4.2%. Over the medium term to 2018 we project a 4.8% average annual increase

Port of Durban container throughput is forecast to grow by 2.0% in 2014. Growth will average 2.8% per annum in the medium-term forecast period to 2018

2014 total trade growth is forecast at 3.8%, and to average 4.4% per annum to 2018.

Industry View 7
Shipping 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Business Environment 12
Industry Forecast 13
Port Of Durban Throughput 13
Port Of Richards Bay Throughput 17
Table: Major Ports Data, 2012-2018 21
Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018 23
Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018 23
Table: South Africa's Main Import Partners, 2004-201224
Table: South Africa's Main Export Partners, 2004-2012. 25
Market Overview 26
South Africa Container Shipping Market Overview 26
Industry Trends And Developments 34
South Africa Company Profile 35
Safmarine 35
Deutsche Afrika-Linien (DAL) 39
Shipping - Global Industry View 41
Container Demand: 41
Container Supply: 48
Container Rates: 54
Global Company Strategy 58
Maersk Line 58
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) 71
Evergreen Line 86
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON) 93
Macroeconomic Forecasts 100
Table: Real GDP Growth, % chg q-o-q, SAAR 100
Table: South Africa - Economic Activity 104
Demographic Forecast 105
Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) 106
Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) 107
Table: South Africa's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 108
Table: South Africa's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020 108

South Africa Freight Transport and Shipping Report
BMI View: Bar the country's shipping sector, which is being particularly hindered by weak consumer demand and declines in coal production, South Africa's freight modes are all expected to post positive growth in 2016. However, going forward, risks are considerably to the downside. The country's poor economic outlook, unsustainable structur

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