South Africa Petrochemicals Report

South Africa Petrochemicals Report

Published OnAug, 2016
Cement: 2014 Market Review and Forecast
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The outlook for the South African petrochemicals industry has worsened due to the country's continued poor economic performance as well as the threat of strike action within the petrochemicals sector and related sectors, both upstream and in end markets. In spite of the decline in the value of the rand, the sector is struggling with low levels of competitiveness and weighed down by poor consumption, although past problems with electricity power supply have eased. Sub-2% growth is expected over the short-term with little significant growth expected over the five year forecast period in spite of the growth in capacity in the C3 chain.

Basic chemicals output grew 2.6% y-o-y in the first five months of 2016, reversing the trend in 2015 when full year output fell 0.6%. This was above the trend seen in the overall manufacturing sector which grew 1.0% y-o-y over the period. Plastic also fared better, growing 0.5% y-o-y compared to a 1.9% fall.

However, rubber saw a 1.6% decline. Nevertheless, going into Q216 the rubber sector appeared to pick up while the plastic segment lost steam, demonstrating the volatility within the petrochemicals sector.

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT ...... 8
Political . 10
Economic ........ 11
Operational Risk ....... 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Latest Developments . 14
Consumption .. 14
Table: South Africa's Chemicals & Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2020 . 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts ..... 19
Economic Growth Outlook ... 19
Table: South Africa - Real GDP Growth, % change q-o-q, SAAR . 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index ... 23
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index ... 23
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q4 2016 . . 27
South Africa Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index .. 28
Market Overview ... 30
Industry Trends And Developments ........ 33
Sasol ... 33
Upstream ....... 34
Company Profile .... 39
Sasol ..... 39
Table: Sasol - Financial Results, Financial Year Ending June 30 (ZARmn), 2010-2015 . . 42
Regional Overview 43
Middle East And Africa Overview ... 43
Global Industry Overview ........ 49
Demographic Forecast .. 56
Demographic Outlook 56
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025) . 57
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . 57
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025) . 58
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025) . . . . 59
Glossary ........ 61
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms . 61
Methodology . 62
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 64
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 66
Adcock Ingram Ltd in Consumer Health (South Africa)
Allergy Care, Herbal/Traditional Products, OTC, Paediatric Consumer Health, Sports Nutrition, Vitamins and Dietary Supplements, Weight Management. Data coverage:
Chilled Processed Food in South Africa
Chilled Fish/Seafood, Chilled Lunch Kits, Chilled Noodles, Chilled Pizza, Chilled Processed Meat, Chilled Ready Meals, Chilled Soup, Chilled/Fresh Pasta, Fresh Cut Fruits, Prepared Salads.Data coverage:
Clover SA (Pty) Ltd in Packaged Food (South Africa)
Baby Food, Bakery, Canned/Preserved Food, Chilled Processed Food, Confectionery, Dairy, Dried Processed Food, Frozen Processed Food, Ice Cream, Impulse and Indulgence Products, Meal Replacement, Meal Solutions, Noodles, Nutrition/Staples, Oils and Fats, Pasta, Ready Meals, Sauces, Dressings and Condiments, Snack Bars, Soup, Spreads, Sweet and Savou
Canned/Preserved Food in South Africa
Canned/Preserved Beans, Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood, Canned/Preserved Fruit, Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products, Canned/Preserved Pasta, Canned/Preserved Ready Meals, Canned/Preserved Soup, Canned/Preserved Tomatoes, Canned/Preserved Vegetables, Other Canned/Preserved Food. Data coverage:

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