South Africa Mining Report

South Africa Mining Report

Published OnJul, 2016
Pages78
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FormatPDF
Cement: 2014 Market Review and Forecast
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BMI View: South Africa's mining sector will face persistent headwinds due to labour unrest, mineral price weakness, further divestments and retrenchment.
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
-Coal: As Anglo American is keen to offload the majority of its South-African assets, this could result in a significant decline in the country's coal production growth. As such, we revised down our 2016 and 2017 coal production forecast from 1.3% to -4.0% and 1.0% to -1.5%, respectively. Despite this, South Africa, which is Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)'s largest coal producer, with a 94.6% share of regional coal production in 2015, will remain the region's largest coal producer. We forecast South Africa's coal production to grow from 252million tonnes (mnt) in 2016 to 264mnt in 2020. This would represent average annual growth of 0.1% during 2016-2020, slightly higher than the average 0.9% decline during 2010-2014.
-Gold: Although the DRC, Zambia and Mozambique will be the region's growth bright spots, South Africa will remain SSA's largest mining country in terms of MIV. For instance, South Africa's MIV will total USD26.7bn in 2016, whereas DRC, Zambia and Mozambique's MIV will total just USD4.3bn, USD1.3bn and USD0.7bn, respectively. However, South Africa's mining sector will continue to face a myriad of challenges from a combination of low mineral prices, elevated production costs and growing regulatory risks. Both low g

BMI Industry View ....... 7
Table: South Africa Mining Industry Value Forecast . . . . 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends .. 7
SWOT .... 9
Industry Forecast ...... 11
Coal: Modest Recovery Post-2016 ...... 11
Latest Updates ....... 11
Table: Coal Production Forecast (South Africa 2012-2020) . 11
Table: South Africa - Major Coal Projects & Expansions . . . 12
Structural Trends ... 12
Gold: Growth To Grind To A Halt ...... 18
Latest Updates ....... 18
Table: Gold Production Forecast (South Africa 2012-2020) 18
Structural Trends ... 19
Iron Ore: Low Prices To Dent Growth . 24
Latest Updates ....... 25
Table: Iron Ore Production Forecast (South Africa 2012-2020) . 25
Table: South Africa - Major New Iron Ore Projects & Expansions . . 26
Structural Trends ... 26
Platinum: Production Downturn Due To Rising Costs .... 28
Latest Updates ....... 28
Table: South Africa - Platinum Mine Production & Growth . 28
Structural Trends ... 28
Palladium: Sector To Face Numerous Challenges .. 34
Latest Updates ....... 34
Table: Palladium Production (South Africa 2014-2020) 34
Table: South Africa - Palladium Projects 34
Structural Trends ... 35
Industry Risk Reward Index ..... 37
South Africa Risk/Reward Index . 37
Rewards ....... 37
Risks .... 37
Africa - Risk/Reward Index 38
Key Takeaways ...... 38
Latest Revisions ..... 39
Table: Africa - Mining Risk/Reward Index . . . . 40
Regulatory Development .. 41
Trade & Investment Risk Analysis ..... 41
Commodities Outlook ....... 45
Table: BMI Commodities Price Forecasts 45
Competitive Landscape .... 46
Table: South Africa - Largest Mining Companies' Financial Data . . . . 47
Company Profile 48
Global Company Strategy - AngloGold Ashanti - Q3 2016 ....... 48
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts . 50
Company Strategy .. 52
Table: AngloGold Ashanti - Key Financial Data . . . 53
Global Company Strategy - Anglo American - Q3 2016 .. 54
Table: Select Commodities - Price Forecasts . 55
Latest Results 57
Company Strategy .. 58
Table: Anglo American - Financial Data . 60
Global Company Strategy - Impala Platinum - Q3 2016 .. 61
Company Strategy .. 63
Table: Impala Platinum - Key Financial Data 66
Regional Overview .... 67
Sub-Saharan Africa Overview .... 67
Table: SSA - Government Involvement In Mining Sector . . . . 73
Methodology ...... 75
Industry Forecast Methodology 75
Sources 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ....... 77
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 78
Adcock Ingram Ltd in Consumer Health (South Africa)
Allergy Care, Herbal/Traditional Products, OTC, Paediatric Consumer Health, Sports Nutrition, Vitamins and Dietary Supplements, Weight Management. Data coverage:
Chilled Processed Food in South Africa
Chilled Fish/Seafood, Chilled Lunch Kits, Chilled Noodles, Chilled Pizza, Chilled Processed Meat, Chilled Ready Meals, Chilled Soup, Chilled/Fresh Pasta, Fresh Cut Fruits, Prepared Salads.Data coverage:
Clover SA (Pty) Ltd in Packaged Food (South Africa)
Baby Food, Bakery, Canned/Preserved Food, Chilled Processed Food, Confectionery, Dairy, Dried Processed Food, Frozen Processed Food, Ice Cream, Impulse and Indulgence Products, Meal Replacement, Meal Solutions, Noodles, Nutrition/Staples, Oils and Fats, Pasta, Ready Meals, Sauces, Dressings and Condiments, Snack Bars, Soup, Spreads, Sweet and Savou
Canned/Preserved Food in South Africa
Canned/Preserved Beans, Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood, Canned/Preserved Fruit, Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products, Canned/Preserved Pasta, Canned/Preserved Ready Meals, Canned/Preserved Soup, Canned/Preserved Tomatoes, Canned/Preserved Vegetables, Other Canned/Preserved Food. Data coverage:

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