»    »  South Africa Agribusiness Report

South Africa Agribusiness Report

Published OnJun, 2016
Pages63
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Cement: 2014 Market Review and Forecast
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BMI View: We continue to hold a mixed outlook for the South African agricultural market as a whole. Both corn and wheat will be hit by severe drought and the effects of El Niño, but we do expect grains to rebound over the course of our forecast period. Furthermore, livestock production and sugar consumption will both embark on a positive trajectory. Over the medium term, a weak rand, weather volatility and falling farm incomes will exert downward pressures on the market. However, economic growth, increasing demand and a higher population with more discretionary spending power will be boosts for growth.
 
 Key Forecasts
 
 
- Corn production will take another year of heavy losses in 2015/16 due to severe drought, declining by an
 additional 38.8% y-o-y to reach 6.5mn tonnes.
 
 - Sugar production will decline by 20.2% to reach 1.75mn tonnes in 2015/16, as El Niño and severe
 regional weather droughts hit output.
 
 - Poultry production will reach 1.3mn tonnes in 2015/16, representing a y-o-y increase of 1.2%.
 
 - Pork production will rise by 2.1% in 2015/16 to reach 245,000 tonnes, while consumption will see a rise
 to 306,000 tonnes.

BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT  9
Agribusiness ... 9
Industry Forecast .. 12
Sugar Outlook ..... 12
Latest Updates ... 12
Table: South Africa - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook  . . . . . 12
Table: Risks To Outlook    . . 12
Structural Trends ..... 13
Table: Sugar Consumption & Production (South Africa 2012-2020)  . . . . 14
Rice Outlook . 15
Latest Updates ... 15
Table: South Africa - Rice Consumption Outlook15
Table: Risks To Outlook    . . 15
Structural Trends ..... 16
Table: Rice Consumption (South Africa 2012-2020)     . . . 17
Grains Outlook ... 18
Latest Updates ... 18
Table: South Africa - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook   18
Table: Risks To Outlook    . . 19
Structural Trends ..... 19
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (South Africa 2013-2020)  . . . 20
Livestock Outlook  21
Latest Updates ... 21
Table: South Africa - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook  . . . 21
Table: Risks To Outlook    . . 22
Structural Trends ..... 22
Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (South Africa 2012-2020)  23
Commodities Price Analysis ... 24
Global Commodities Strategy ... 24
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts   . . . . 24
Upstream Analysis  26
Africa Machinery Outlook . 26
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions. . . . 26
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)  . . 31
Africa GM Outlook .... 32
Africa Fertiliser Outlook ... 39
Downstream Analysis . 46
Food ..... 46
Latest Updates ... 46
Structural Trends ..... 47
Table: Food Sales (South Africa 2013-2020). . . . . 48
Regional Overview  50
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview ..... 50
Competitive Landscape .... 56
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies  56
Demographic Forecast ..... 57
Demographic Outlook  57
Table: Population Headline Indicators (South Africa 1990-2025)   . 58
Table: Key Population Ratios (South Africa 1990-2025)    . . . . 58
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (South Africa 1990-2025) 59
Table: Population By Age Group (South Africa 1990-2025)    . 59
Table: Population By Age Group % (South Africa 1990-2025)   . . . . 60
Methodology .... 62
Industry Forecast Methodology .... 62
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 63

Adcock Ingram Ltd in Consumer Health (South Africa)
Allergy Care, Herbal/Traditional Products, OTC, Paediatric Consumer Health, Sports Nutrition, Vitamins and Dietary Supplements, Weight Management. Data coverage:
Chilled Processed Food in South Africa
Chilled Fish/Seafood, Chilled Lunch Kits, Chilled Noodles, Chilled Pizza, Chilled Processed Meat, Chilled Ready Meals, Chilled Soup, Chilled/Fresh Pasta, Fresh Cut Fruits, Prepared Salads.Data coverage:
Clover SA (Pty) Ltd in Packaged Food (South Africa)
Baby Food, Bakery, Canned/Preserved Food, Chilled Processed Food, Confectionery, Dairy, Dried Processed Food, Frozen Processed Food, Ice Cream, Impulse and Indulgence Products, Meal Replacement, Meal Solutions, Noodles, Nutrition/Staples, Oils and Fats, Pasta, Ready Meals, Sauces, Dressings and Condiments, Snack Bars, Soup, Spreads, Sweet and Savou
Canned/Preserved Food in South Africa
Canned/Preserved Beans, Canned/Preserved Fish/Seafood, Canned/Preserved Fruit, Canned/Preserved Meat and Meat Products, Canned/Preserved Pasta, Canned/Preserved Ready Meals, Canned/Preserved Soup, Canned/Preserved Tomatoes, Canned/Preserved Vegetables, Other Canned/Preserved Food. Data coverage:

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